WILMINGTON, Ohio — Our latest update on this weekend’s severe weather threat shows growing confidence in strong storms, gusty winds, and heavy rainfall Saturday into Sunday morning. While some uncertainty remains regarding storm development, the greatest threat window continues to be Saturday afternoon into early evening for severe storms, followed by heavy rain and possible flash flooding Saturday night.
Key Updates from Our Previous Forecast:
- Severe Storm Threat: Confidence remains in a conditional risk of severe storms Saturday afternoon (2 p.m. – 10 p.m.). However, storm formation remains uncertain. If storms do develop, they could bring damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado.
- Flash Flooding Concern Growing: Heavy rain is increasingly likely Saturday night into Sunday morning (8 p.m. – 8 a.m.), with the potential for localized flash flooding where storms train over the same areas.
- Gusty Winds Likely: Strong wind gusts are expected across the region Saturday afternoon into early evening, even outside of storms.
Forecast Adjustments:
- The timing of the severe weather has not changed, but models continue to suggest a heightened risk of heavy rainfall Saturday night.
- The potential for damaging storms depends on whether storms can form in the afternoon heat. If they do, they will likely be intense and fast-moving.
- Wind gusts remain a concern, particularly for loose outdoor objects and weak structures.
We will continue to monitor the latest data and provide updates as new information becomes available. Stay weather-aware and be prepared for possible severe storms and flooding this weekend.