CHILLICOTHE, Ohio — Ross County is projected to experience a significant population decline of 13.48% by 2050, according to the Ohio Department of Development. While these are only projections, the department’s forecasts have historically been accurate, raising concerns about the county’s future. This sharp decline reflects broader statewide trends, with rural counties losing population as urban areas grow. However, for Ross County, the consequences could be far-reaching.
The potential impacts of this population loss include an economic downturn, a reduced tax base, labor shortages, and declining property values—all of which will affect residents directly. These factors can compound issues already facing the community, such as increased crime rates and diminished opportunities for economic development.
A Community in Crisis
As Ross County’s population decreases, the region risks falling into what experts call “diseases of despair.” These include rising rates of drug overdoses, suicides, and alcohol-related illnesses, which have been pervasive across Appalachian communities. According to the Appalachian Regional Commission, deaths from diseases of despair surged in 2020, likely exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Without proactive measures, Ross County could see similar trends as economic opportunities continue to shrink.
The county is also grappling with an increase in crime. Data from CrimeGrade.org shows that Ross County ranks in the 22nd percentile for safety, meaning it is less safe than 78% of counties in the United States. The crime rate stands at 34.15 incidents per 1,000 residents annually, with some neighborhoods facing a 1 in 17 chance of becoming a crime victim. This coupled with rising gun violence in Ohio’s First Capital adds to the growing concerns.
Path Forward: Leadership and Growth
Reversing Ross County’s projected population decline will require bold and forward-thinking leadership. Advocates emphasize the importance of electing County Commissioners and Township Trustees who prioritize growth and development. Embracing these opportunities is crucial to stabilizing the population and securing the community’s long-term viability.
Growth should not be seen as a threat but as an opportunity. By attracting new businesses, supporting housing development, and creating a welcoming environment for families and professionals, Ross County can counter the challenges it faces. Proactive leadership that focuses on economic expansion and community safety will be essential to turning these projections around.
Hope for the Future
Despite the challenges, there is optimism. Community leaders and advocates for development are working to push for new initiatives that will stabilize and grow Ross County’s population. The focus must remain on building a future that supports residents, attracts investment, and addresses underlying issues like crime and despair.