CHILLICOTHE, Ohio — Amid growing tensions between Israel and Iran — with the United States taking the side of Israel — if President Donald Trump ordered airstrikes on Iran, Ross County, including Chillicothe’s 21,000 residents, would face manageable but noticeable effects on its economy, military community, and local politics.

The strikes, likely targeting Iranian military and nuclear sites due to heightened tensions, would aim to counter Iran’s regional actions. While the conflict would be distant, Ross County’s manufacturing, farming, and military ties would tie it to the fallout.

Economic Impacts Surface

A U.S. strike could push global oil prices up by roughly 10%, raising fuel costs in Ross County. Kenworth Truck Co., a major Chillicothe employer with over 2,000 workers, could see higher shipping expenses, potentially tightening budgets but not immediately threatening jobs. Local farmers, growing corn and soybeans, would face increased fuel costs for equipment, slightly raising production expenses.

Gas prices could rise toward $4 per gallon, leading some residents to cut back on non-essential trips, according to AAA. Downtown Chillicothe businesses, like shops and cafes, might see fewer customers, while tourism to sites like Hopewell Culture National Historical Park could dip slightly.

Military Community Responds

Ross County’s military connections, including Ohio National Guard members from units like the 174th Air Defense Artillery Brigade, could lead to some local personnel preparing for possible deployment. Families would adjust to the prospect of separations, though no large-scale mobilization would be certain.

Veterans’ groups, such as Chillicothe’s VFW Post 108, might see more members gathering to discuss the news. Concerns about escalation would exist but remain subdued without clear signs of a broader conflict.

Political Discussions Shift

In Ross County, a Republican-leaning area that supported Trump in 2020 and 2024, many would view the strikes as a justified response to Iran’s actions. Some residents, particularly those in agriculture or small businesses, would express concern about rising costs. Local Democrats would likely call for restraint and economic support; perhaps even protest, as they have been known to do before.

Community Prepares

Chillicothe’s city officials would monitor economic effects, possibly seeking state assistance to offset fuel price increases. Community groups, including churches and nonprofits, would be ready to support households facing higher costs. Schools might offer resources for students with military family members, reflecting the county’s practical approach.

Derek Myers is the editor-in-chief of the Guardian.